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Daily Economic Research

18 February 2026

KBVS ECONOMIC RESEARCH
Wednesday, 18 February 2026

Macro Highlight :
The release of the latest US inflation data and inflation expectations at the end of last week continues to be closely assessed by global financial market participants. Nevertheless, market participants remain cautious regarding escalating tensions between the US and Iran, while hoping for a de-escalation of geopolitical risks. Meanwhile, today’s releases of US durable goods orders, building permits, and industrial production data are expected to influence global portfolio flows and shape near-term market direction.

The domestic fixed income market closed last week (Friday, 13 Feb 2026) on a strong bullish note, ignoring the currency volatility. This broad-based rally suggests that domestic liquidity remains robust and investors are locking in yields despite external FX pressures.

We anticipate a decrease in the 10Y SUN yield today (18 Feb ‘26), projecting it to range between 6.25% and 6.45%.

 

Regards,
KBVS Research Team

 

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